U.S. Intelligence Warns Of Possible Chinese Weapons Shipment To Iran Amid Rising Maritime Tensions

US intelligence has indicated that China may be preparing to send new air defence systems to Iran in the coming weeks, according to reports citing people familiar with recent assessments.

The systems are believed to be shoulder-fired anti-air missiles, known as MANPADS. These weapons were used during the recent five-week conflict and had posed a threat to low-flying US military aircraft.

Officials now believe they could be used again if the current ceasefire does not hold.

The ceasefire between the United States, Israel and Iran came into effect earlier this week after weeks of fighting that began on February 28. The conflict disrupted traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for global oil shipping.

Sources said Iran may be using this pause in fighting to rebuild its weapons systems with help from foreign partners. There are also indications that China could route any shipments through third countries to hide their origin.

US President Donald Trump said China would face consequences if it sends weapons to Iran.

Speaking before leaving the White House, he said Beijing would have “big problems” if such a move takes place. He did not confirm whether he has discussed the issue with Chinese President Xi Jinping.

China has denied the claims. A spokesperson for its embassy in Washington said the country has not provided weapons to any side in the conflict and called the reports untrue.

The spokesperson also said China has been working to support a ceasefire and reduce tensions since the fighting began.

During a recent press briefing, Trump said a US F-15 fighter jet shot down over Iran last week was likely hit by a heat-seeking, shoulder-fired missile.

Iran had earlier said it used a “new” air defence system but did not give details. It is not clear if that system was of Chinese origin.

So far, Chinese companies have been linked to supplying dual-use technology to Iran, which can support weapons development and navigation systems.

However, a direct transfer of weapons by the Chinese government would be a more serious development.

Sources also said China is unlikely to get directly involved in the conflict but wants to maintain ties with Iran, especially as it depends on Iranian oil. By staying outwardly neutral, Beijing may try to avoid direct blame while continuing its relationship with Tehran.

They added that China could argue these systems are defensive in nature, unlike the support provided by Russia. Moscow has reportedly shared intelligence with Iran during the conflict, which helped in targeting US troops and assets in the region.

Iran has long-standing military and economic ties with both China and Russia. It has also supported Russia in its war in Ukraine by supplying drones and continues to export a large share of its oil to China despite sanctions.

The conflict has caused heavy losses. Iranian authorities have said nearly 3,000 people were killed. On the US side, at least 13 servicemen died and several others were injured. The situation has also affected shipping operations, with increased risks for vessels passing through the Gulf.

The United States and China are expected to hold high-level talks next month, where the Iran issue may come up. At the same time, US and Iranian officials are continuing discussions to find a way forward after weeks of conflict.

References: CNN, economictimes